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Invest 94L: Atlantic system shows growing potential for tropical development, no threat to Florida

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Published  October 15, 2024 8:21pm EDT
Tropical Forecast
FOX 35 Orlando

Tracking the Tropics: Possible scenarios for Invest 94L

On FOX 35 News+, FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren broke down the possible scenarios for what could be future tropical storm or hurricane Nadine.

ORLANDO, Fla. - A low-pressure system in the central tropical Atlantic is producing occasional showers and thunderstorms. While dry air is currently preventing its development, conditions are expected to improve later this week. 

As the system moves westward, it could strengthen into a tropical depression as it approaches the Leeward Islands by the weekend. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 50% over the next seven days.

In the Western Caribbean, another low-pressure area may develop later this week. Gradual development is possible if it stays over water while moving toward northern Central America, potentially bringing heavy rainfall to the region. This system has almost no chance of forming in the next two days, but a 20% chance within the next week.

There are two possible scenarios for the Atlantic system's path. The first scenario involves the system remaining weak, potentially failing to develop further, and drifting northward after impacting Hispaniola this weekend. The second scenario involves a slightly stronger system that could move southwest into the Caribbean by late this weekend or early next week. 

"For now, the sloppier, weaker, getting pulled north scenario seems to be more likely, but we will continue to watch," said FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren.

Currently, the weaker, northward-moving scenario appears more likely, but meteorologists are closely monitoring the situation.

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