Invest 94L: Cold front protecting Florida from the system

Two tropical disturbances in the Atlantic basin are being monitored, though neither shows strong signs of immediate development, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Thanks to a cold front that moved across Florida on Wednesday, neither of these systems appears to threaten Florida.

East of the Leeward Islands

A trough of low pressure several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 

Environmental conditions in the region are only marginally conducive to development. 

The disturbance is moving quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph.

 It is expected to pass near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Friday, then approach the Greater Antilles over the weekend.  

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: 10% (low)
  • Formation chance through 7 days: 20% (low)

Western Caribbean Sea  

A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea shows medium development potential. 

Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system could develop slowly if the low stays over water as it moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. 

Regardless of development, the system may bring locally heavy rainfall to parts of Central America and southern Mexico by the weekend.  

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: 40% (low)
  • Formation chance through 7 days: 40% (low)

Both systems should not affect Florida as the cold front moving through the state is acting as a shield. Both systems will continue to be monitored.